Biden lays out an ambitious but familiar campaign tax agenda for 2024

Last night State of the Union address was likely President Biden’s last speech to Congress in his first term. But it was also his first major event within the re-election campaign. And when it got here to tax policy, Biden sent a transparent message: His second-term revenue agenda, like his first, can be dominated by efforts to extend taxes on corporations and the rich while cutting taxes on many households, the 400,000 U.S -Earn dollars or less per 12 months.

Biden’s almost certain opponent, Donald Trump, was vague about his own budget agenda. But Biden will certainly spend the subsequent seven months drawing a contrast with the previous president by repeating the message he delivered last night: “Does anyone really believe that the tax code is fair?” Do they really consider that the wealthy and massive corporations need one other $2 trillion in tax breaks?”

Biden’s tax agenda

Many of the proposals that Biden described last night or that were included an accompanying information sheet were familiar. They have either adopted or expanded a lot of his works first tax initiatives.

Biden said he would:

· Increase the Corporate tax rate from 21 percent to twenty-eight percent and that Minimum tax rate for firms to 21 percent.

· Implementation of the international agreement establishing a 21 percent corporate minimum tax worldwide.

· Increase the Excise tax on corporate stock buybacks from 1 percent to 4 percent.

· Expand the present $1 million cap on deductible executive compensation to all employees.

· Increase taxes on business jets.

· Introduction of a 25 percent individual minimum tax for households with assets of $100 million or more.

· Increase the Medicare payroll tax rate for those earning $400,000 or more.

· Restore the more generous 2021 version of the kid tax credit and increase the earned income tax credit.

· Expand individual tax provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) for those making $400,000 or less and paying the expense through tax increases on high-income households and businesses.

· Create a tax credit for first-time home buyers.

· Extend Congress has approved a rise within the IRS budget in 2022.

It shall be difficult for Biden to match his tax agenda to Trump’s because the previous president was largely unwilling to flesh out his own ideas. At the start of his primary campaign, Trump spoke of a deepening Corporate tax rate reductions and recent tariffs on imported goods, sometimes China is highlighted.

Create a contrast

More recently, he has downplayed cutting corporate rates and as a substitute focused on making the TCJA everlasting. But to the extent that Trump engages on policy issues in any respect, he’ll concentrate on immigration and crime slightly than taxes.

That means Biden could have to match his tax agenda to that of Republicans in Congress as much as Trump does. Still, there are some stark differences between the present and former presidents in the case of taxes.

Trump supports a company tax rate of 15 percent. Biden favors 28 percent. Biden wants the US to take part in international tax reform. Not Trump.

Trump desires to make all provisions of the TCJA everlasting and has not said anything about it expected revenue lack of greater than $3 trillion. Biden would expand individual provisions of the TCJA only to those making $400,000 or less. And would at the very least partially finance this effort.

Ideas discarded

While Biden revisited many ideas he has advocated previously, at the very least this week he ignored some previous proposals. For example, he never mentioned it Taxation of Accrued Capital Gains even when investors haven’t sold any assets. He didn’t discuss it either Taxation of capital gains from unsold assets upon death, which might make it tougher to avoid tax on investment gains made during a deceased person’s life. It’s not clear whether any of those ideas will appear in his more detailed budget next week.

Finally, Biden remained silent on previous plans to expand Social Security’s solvency, a proposal that will require raising payroll taxes on staff. Instead, he said what he would not do, including raising the retirement age.

A political message

Some of Biden’s proposals could also be simpler as a political message than as a tool to lift revenue.

For example, the present 1 percent tax on stock repurchases has had little effect on corporate stock repurchases, and although the 4 percent tax may deter some from repurchases, most doubt that it might significantly change behavior. In a forthcoming evaluation, TPC estimates that the U.S. tax profit for repurchases over dividends is 7.2 percent when there isn’t a excise tax. About two-thirds of the overall U.S. tax profit goes to foreign shareholders.

Limiting corporate tax deductions for non-executive compensation can be unlikely to alter compensation practices. For one thing, the brand new tax would only apply to publicly traded C corporations. But many highly paid staff, comparable to doctors, lawyers, financiers and athletes, work in firms with other business structures comparable to partnerships, S corporations and limited liability firms.

While Boden’s tax platform was technically a preview of his 2025 budget plan, a deeply divided Congress is unlikely to pass any of those changes in an election 12 months. But while Biden spoke to lawmakers, they weren’t really his audience. There were 2024 voters.