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Southeast Asia sees slump in dealmaking activity; PE deal value to fall 39% in 2023

Southeast Asia sees slump in dealmaking activity; PE deal value to fall 39% in 2023

Private Equity Investments are being reduced worldwide, as “higher longer-term” rates of interest and unsure global growth have dampened investors’ risk appetite,

And Southeast Asia, which was considered an emerging hotspot of the digital economy just a number of years ago, is not any exception. A brand new report from Bain and Company shows that non-public equity deals within the region have declined, although growth prospects are positive and the region may profit from reshoring trends from the worldwide economy.

Transaction values ​​in Southeast Asia fell 39% in comparison with the 2018-2022 average, reaching $9 billion in 2023. The total variety of transactions also declined, falling to 109, a 24% decrease in comparison with the previous average. Transaction values ​​within the region are back to 2020 levels.

Nevertheless, Southeast Asia’s performance is broadly comparable to other markets within the Asia-Pacific region. The value of transactions in Greater China and India fell by 58% and 41% respectively over the identical period.

One market that has performed well? Japan, which saw a 183% increase in transaction value between 2018 and 2022 in comparison with the running average.

Singapore and Indonesia accounted for the vast majority of Southeast Asian deals, each by value and number. “Singapore has typically been number one,” said Usman Akhtar, senior partner and head of Bain’s Southeast Asia private equity practice. “Singapore is a region that attracts a lot of companies with regional ambitions. That doesn’t necessarily mean that everything goes into economic activity in Singapore, but that’s where the companies are based.”

According to Bain, Indonesia typically ranks second in attracting private equity investments. The country is the most important economy within the region and has a rapidly growing middle class.

Southeast Asia reported a median of $10 billion to $11 billion in private equity-backed investments between 2018 and 2020, rising to $27 billion in 2021 resulting from the COVID pandemic. refueled an investment boom within the Internet sector.

The web and technology sector continues to receive essentially the most private equity investment, accounting for greater than half of all transactions since 2018. But in line with the Bain report, healthcare is becoming increasingly attractive to investors. The company also predicts that rising incomes within the region will make the buyer goods sector a hotspot for investment.

If 2023 was tough, 2024 is unlikely to be much easier. According to a Bain survey, investors expect less attractive returns over the following three to 5 years and are concerned about difficult exit conditions for his or her investments.

Dealmaking has been slow in Southeast Asia to date, with only $1.4 billion price of personal equity deals accomplished in Southeast Asia in the primary quarter of 2024 – or $5.6 billion on an annualized basis, down from last 12 months’s $9 billion.

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