The waiting game
So you are finally fed up of watching your savings earn pennies in interest and have decided to begin investing! But now you are sitting on the sidelines waiting for the “perfect” time to enter the market. Maybe you are hoping for a dip, a likelihood to purchase low and ride the wave back up. It’s a tempting thought, is not it? But I’m here to let you know, as a wealth advisor who has seen it repeatedly, that this wait-and-see approach could also be costing you lots greater than you’re thinking that.
The fallacy of the illusion of control
We humans have a funny way of pondering we are able to control things which are ultimately out of our hands. It’s like attempting to predict the weather a yr upfront – sometimes we get lucky, but more often than not Mother Nature does her own thing irrespective of how well informed we’re. The stock market is not much different on this regard. It’s influenced by countless aspects, from economic trends to geopolitical events, presidential processes, social media buzz, and attempting to predict its every move is a futile exercise for 99% of individuals.
“The Illusion of control is the strongest predictor of risk appetite and investment performance,” explains Syed Zain ul Abdin. This illusion of control could make us imagine that we are able to time the market perfectly by entering at the underside and selling at the height. But in point of fact, even seasoned professionals struggle to do that consistently. And while we attempt to outsmart the market, the typical investor would miss out on potential gains. To illustrate how precise an investor should be to make timing the market worthwhile, there have been exactly 5,036 trading days within the 20-year period from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2019, and wish to understand how lots of those days accounted for roughly half of all returns over those twenty years? Whatever you guessed, it’s probably unsuitable since the answer is: Ten trading days. when you missed 10 of 5,036 days, You would have lost half of your potential investment. Waiting or timing the market generally is a very costly decision.
Herding behavior
Have you ever seen a flock of birds suddenly change direction? This is herd behavior and it happens within the financial world at lightning speed too. Have you ever heard the financial term “buy the rumor, sell the news”? This leads to group behavior and actions when the market becomes volatile; investors are likely to follow the gang, sell their assets in a panic or steer clear of investing altogether. But remember, the market is a long-term game driven by the power of firms to make profits now and in the long run and these short-term fluctuations are only small blips on the radar brought on by short-term, fickle opinions and speculation. There is a small subset of highly trained professionals who dedicate their entire lives to the power to predict these moves and more often than not many fail to time the market appropriately.
Average cost effect:
So what’s the choice to this waiting game and herd mentality? *Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) is all the fashion* Dollar-Cost Averaging is your trusty sidekick on the earth of investing, doing the exertions over time of saving you from your individual bad decisions. DCA is sort of a marathon runner, regular and consistent, not a sprinter attempting to time the starting gun. You invest a set sum of money at regular intervals, whatever the market’s performance. This means you purchase more stocks when prices are low and fewer once they are high, thus offsetting your costs and lower investment risk over timeBut DCA is not only for peace of mind (although that is a pleasant bonus!). It’s also a proven strategy for more risk-averse investors, which generally means investors with less experience.
The Cost of Procrastination: Time vs. Timing
Every financial literacy course stresses the importance of using time to your advantage so you could have more time to grow available in the market. This is because historically, “time in the market” has at all times paid greater than “timing” available in the market. That’s the facility of compound interest, and it really works against you day by day you wait. There’s an old Chinese proverb that claims, “The best time to plant a tree was twenty years ago, but the second best time is right now.” Don’t let the illusion of control or fear of missing out stop you from constructing your financial future. Remember, investing is a marathon, not a sprint. If you are unsure and hesitant, start small, stay consistent, and let time and compound interest work their magic. And yes, when you need a helping hand along the way in which, don’t hesitate to achieve out to a licensed financial advisor. We’re here to guide you thru the ups and downs and enable you to reach your financial goals. Remember, it’s never too late to speculate in improving your future.