Sunday, March 15, 2026

Housing market outlook: Buyers gain the upper hand

Housing market outlook: Buyers gain the upper hand

According to Robert Reffkin, co-founder and CEO of Compass, the U.S. housing market is currently tilting in favor of buyers who’re pushing back against the high home prices that sellers are demanding.

He said CNBC on Wednesday that 30% of the inventory in the marketplace has seen a price drop, which is greater than at any time within the last 10 years. At the identical time, the inventory in the marketplace has increased by 16%.

“It’s a different environment. We see more sellers than buyers now,” he said.

Reffkin said there have been further price reductions within the South, which had already seen sharp price increases as Americans left costlier states in the course of the pandemic.

The Florida real estate market has also been hit by a surge in home insurance prices, which have risen 40 percent year-on-year and are depressing asking prices, he said.

“Sellers putting their homes on the market during this time need to be aware of how buyers are fighting back,” Reffkin said. “If your home is priced well in this environment, it will sell quickly. But if not, it will sit on the market. Then you need to lower the price. Then buyers will see that they are getting a discount. The sharks will come out and that will hurt you even more.”

Buyers within the upper segment of the true estate market have also been encouraged by recent gains within the stock markets, he told CNBC.

While the rise in mortgage rates earlier this 12 months, coupled with high property prices, further worsened property affordability, that is less of a priority for buyers who profit from the wealth effect of their investments.

“You don’t need lower mortgage rates when your stock portfolio is at an all-time high,” Reffkin said.

His comments follow a report released earlier this month that showed Texas and Florida were the very best places for buyers in Zillow’s recent market heat indexwhich takes under consideration the proportion of homes that had a suggestion accepted by a buyer inside 21 days or less, the proportion of homes that received a reduction, and interaction with lively listings on the web site and within the app

“Potential buyers who faced intense competition in sunny Texas and Florida markets at the start of the pandemic are no longer experiencing such a rush,” Zillow said.

Redfin CEO Glenn Kelman also expressed optimism concerning the housing market’s performance within the second half of 2024 after it hit “bottom” in the primary quarter.

However, this outlook will depend on rate of interest cuts by the US Federal Reserve, he warned, and warned that without such a cut, sales could slow and even decline.

At the moment, he shouldn’t be able to “have a party here and drink lots of champagne,” Kelman said. “It’s just a little bit better, it’s a little bit better – and that’s remarkable.”

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