Sunday, November 24, 2024

Jon Stein, CFA, on GameStop and the market’s crisis of confidence

Just a couple of days after the discharge of the Edelman Trust Barometer Dubbed “declaring information insolvency,” Wall Street has experienced an information crisis firsthand, courtesy of Reddit and GameStop. January’s wild ride has put the give attention to investing versus speculation versus gambling, in an environment where many betting shops have been paused as a result of COVID-19 and technology has enabled free, fast access to the markets.

This has attracted many latest market participants. How will they fare in the long run? Will it democratise markets and make them more inclusive, allowing more people to profit from long-term value creation? Or will it create a unique “investor class” that sees investing as a brand new type of (sometimes very expensive) entertainment?

In our Investor Confidence Study 2020we found that only 39% of retail investors without an advisor say that news concerning the financial markets is trustworthy, in comparison with 61% of those with an advisor. Similarly, only 57% of those without an advisor imagine they’ve a good probability of making the most of investing within the capital markets, but this percentage rises to 81% amongst those with an advisor. A trusted advisor makes all of the difference.

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Should we regulate the person steps within the arbitration process? We don’t need to manage speech or prohibit people from investing, but we do care about investor protection.

Recent events haven’t been bad for the investor, but they’ve not been good either. Trading for short-term gains doesn’t help society. Yet these actions are being taken by the identical people who politicians generally try to guard. These actions were value-destroying and a waste of time – identical to gambling. So perhaps it needs to be taxed like gambling. It is fun, but it surely doesn’t create value and will not be a productive activity.

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To those that say the system is broken, we must always acknowledge that not all correlations between value and price are broken. But we must acknowledge that Roaring kitten — it was an excellent trade — but we’d like to encourage proper capital allocation. There shouldn’t be crazy price swings unless there’s news.

How should we take into consideration latest speed bumps now that there aren’t any transaction costs? It doesn’t must be a flat regressive tax, it might be progressive. In casinos, for instance, you often must pay taxes once your winnings exceed a certain quantity. This reinforces the concept that you might have to be more cautious as you get larger.

Are you concerned about gamification and the way some platforms use tricks to get people to act against their very own interests?

This is going on increasingly more often. Reporters don’t write stories concerning the losers, only concerning the $40 million winner. But Betterment and other large retail investment firms aren’t going to leap into this space because it is not good for the brand in the long term if it ultimately goes mistaken. At some point, regulators may have to step in.

You can take a look at the TechCrunch Video I spoke with Vlad Tenev, founding father of Robinhood, in 2016 to listen to how we designed our business models. Just because something is online doesn’t suggest it’s similar, and we put a number of emphasis on aligning our investors’ interests.

There are examples of gamification getting used to profit customers. Companies can use prompts and competitions to encourage people to save lots of more. It all is determined by the product design and the corporate’s incentives.

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It sounds as if the “democratization of markets” should actually be concerning the “democratization of value creation”.

Yes, I completely agree. And remember, simply because something doesn’t cost a commission doesn’t suggest it’s really free. Like eating at McDonald’s, it won’t cost you a number of money today, but it is going to cost you something by way of your health.

You should want transparency and in the event you aren’t paying for something, you need to ask questions.

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Photo credit: Courtesy of DanTD. Circumcised. License


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