Saturday, November 23, 2024

Jubilation sweeps the markets, Wall Street roars for rate of interest relief

NEW YORK (AP) — Wall Street is heading for record highs Thursday as a delayed celebration sweeps markets worldwide after the U.S. Federal Reserve sharp reduction in rates of interest.

The S&P 500 was 1.5 percent higher in early trading, surpassing its all-time high reached in July. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 489 points, or 1.2 percent, and is on target to surpass its record. set on MondayThe Nasdaq Composite was up 2.2% at 10 a.m. Eastern time.

Companies that profit most from low rates of interest and whose profits depend most on the strength of the U.S. economy led the way in which. The Russell 2000 index of smaller stocks rose 1.7 percent. Nvidia gained 4.5 percent as low rates of interest somewhat mitigated criticism that the corporate’s share price and other Big Techs ‘ was within the hype about artificial intelligence technology.

The measures followed market rallies in Europe and Asia after the US Federal Reserve made its first rate of interest cut in greater than 4 years late Wednesday evening.

It was a big move by the Fed, ending a period through which it had kept its benchmark rate of interest at a 20-year high within the hope of slowing the U.S. economy enough to bring high inflation under control. inflation has come down from its peak two summers agoFed Chairman Jerome Powell said the Fed could focus more on keep the labour market stable and the economy from a recession.

Wall Street’s first response to the cut on Wednesday was a yawnafter the markets had already soared for months on the expectation of upcoming rate of interest cuts and the share prices finally fell barely again after some fluctuations up and down.

“But today we’re seeing a reversal of the reversal,” said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, who said he didn’t expect such a giant jump in stocks on Thursday.

Some analysts said it can have been a relief that Fed Chairman Powell was in a position to get it right in his press conference, suggesting that the larger-than-usual cut was merely a “recalibration” of policy somewhat than an urgent step that needed to be taken to forestall a recession.

The labor market has already begun to weaken resulting from higher rates of interest, and a few critics say the Fed waited too long to chop rates of interest, potentially harming the economy.

However, Powell said Fed officials were “in no rush to wrap things up” and would make their monetary policy decisions at each subsequent meeting depending on incoming data.

Some investment banks have raised their forecasts for the scale of the Federal Reserve’s rate of interest cut and expect a good larger cut than Fed officials. On Wednesday, Federal Reserve officials published forecasts in response to which they expect a possible further rate cut of 1.5 percentage points in 2024 and 2025. At Bank of America, economists expect an extra 2 percentage points in this era.

Lower rates of interest help financial markets in two ways. They ease the brakes on the economy by making it easier for U.S. households and businesses to borrow money, which might spur spending and investment. They also boost the costs of all types of investments, from gold to bonds to cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin rose 3% on Thursday.

An old saying goes that investors shouldn’t “fight the Fed” and ride the wave when the central bank cuts rates, and that is exactly what Wall Street did on Wednesday. But this business cycle continues to defy conventional wisdom after the COVID-19 pandemic triggered a sudden recession that gave option to the worst inflation in generations.

One of the concerns that continues to be on Wall Street is that inflation could also be harder to manage than prior to now. And while lower rates of interest can stimulate the economy, they may also fuel inflation further.

The coming USA Presidential elections could also add further uncertainty to the market. There are fears that each parties could push for policies that increase U.S. government debt, which could keep upward pressure on rates of interest whatever the Fed’s actions.

The economic reports published on Thursday at the least indicated that the economy remained solid. One said fewer employees have applied for unemployment advantages advantages last week. It’s one other sign that layoffs across the country remain low and corporations are holding on to their employees, even when they don’t seem to be hiring as many recent employees as they used to.

A separate report says that production within the Mid-Atlantic region is starting to grow again. Production is one among the Sectors of the economy most affected resulting from high rates of interest, although the Philadelphia Fed Index was barely weaker than expected.

In the bond market, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury notes rose to three.73 percent from 3.71 percent late Wednesday. The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury notes, which is more in keeping with expectations about Fed motion, fell to three.60 percent from 3.63 percent.

On foreign stock markets, indices rose 1.9% in France, 2.1% in Japan and a couple of% in Hong Kong. The FTSE 100 rose 0.6% in London after the Bank of England kept rates of interest there unchanged.

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